Paradigm Shift in Value Creation within the Global Food System: Global Food System 5.0 - Rise of a More Intelligent Food System

September 2016


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Report Title: Paradigm Shift in Value Creation within the Global Food System: Global Food System 5.0 - Rise of a More Intelligent Food System


Report Format: Powerpoint in PDF containing 405 slides


File Size: 64.6 MB


Executive Summary:


The Global Agriculture/Food Sector is a $23.2 trillion industry that needs to feed “more with less” by 2050. While much has been written on the sector in terms of policy papers and investment reports, there has never been a solid attempt to put together a comprehensive strategic overview that tries to tie it altogether for decision-makers inside and outside of it.  An attempt that also includes a historical analysis of the sector combined with a detailed examination of where the value in the sector has been created and where it will be created in the future. More importantly, an attempt that tries to think “outside-of-the-box” in order to provide a glimpse of a scenario of what a more intelligent Food System 5.0 could turn out to be in 2050.

Although it was an extremely challenging task to put together such a strategic overview in one comprehensive report we believe we've done it. More importantly, we believe we've also done it in a way that tries to think "outside-of-the-box" in order to create a vision of what Food System 5.0 will develop into in order to feed “more with less” in the coming years. We started this work three years ago by reviewing where mankind started with this effort to feed "more with less" and how we've progressed through the recent "Green Revolution" in order to meet this challenge. Then, we took a look at the recent and current technological efforts, which are being taken to build upon the efforts from this revolution in order to allow for the rise of a more intelligent food system. From this we created a vision with a scenario in which an intelligent food system will enable another leap forward. 

Our vision is a scenario were a more intelligent adaptive system in Food System 5.0 will transform this highly centralized and vertically integrated industrial food system (which has been built mainly by hybridization, fertilization, mechanization and standardization) into a more decentralized and virtualized hybrid food system designed specifically for each individual ecoregion of the world. A hybrid food system that is being driven by a biological revolution, which is converging with revolutions in communications, electronics, energy, financing, logistics, resource efficiency and software systems.


More specifically, in this report our “outside-of-the-box” thinking developed a scenario in which the Food System 5.0 is based upon an artificial super intelligence based system (ASIBS) that automatically controls the global food system. With the development of artificial super intelligence (ASI) in the future a fully-functioning intelligent adaptive food system could be created in Food System 5.0.  An intelligent adaptive food system that can provide real-time customized solutions for optimizing one plant, one animal, one food item on a menu instead of one field, one herd or one menu.

In summary, with the insights you gain from this report you should be able to become more confident about how you are participating or should participate in its growth of this sector. You should also be able to  gain the insights you might need to make adjustments in your thinking within your company, fund or investment portfolio.


Report Organization: Sections 1.0-10.0


In Section 1.0 we provide a brief overview on how the global

food system evolved from Food System Version 1.0-4.0 to the three

phases of Version 5.0  out to 2050 - which contains our proprietary 

scenario on the rise of a more intelligent food system in the form 

of an intelligent adaptive system. 


Section 2.0 goes into detail onthe global food system and how valuewas

created in it until the present time.  


Sections 3.0-9.0 go into detail on each segment 

of the global food system, the current state of each of these

segments; what is developing for each segment to  move 

to Version 5.0; examples of existing companies and R&D being 

done to lead to things forward including time frames for completion

and, in addition, what needs to be done to reach to the final phase

of Version 5.0.  


Section 10.0 provides an overview of Version

5.0, how it will evolve, examplesof current intelligent systems

and possible ways Food System 5.0 could be brought forward

in the world.


Section 1.0.  Evolution of Global Food System: Food System 1.0 to 5.0 –

Rise of a More Intelligent Food System

Slides 7-25


Section 2.0. Overview of Global Food System: Structure, Size, Drivers,

  Transformation Typologies, Value Creation

  and R&D Expenditures.

  Slides 26-150


2.1 - What is the Global Food System?

  2.2 - How big is the Global Food System?

  2.3 - What is driving the Global Food System’s Growth?

  2.4 - What are the physical results of such consumption levels?

  2.5 - What Led to the Selection of Food Groups, Cuisines and

Rates of Consumption that have Formed Global Diets?

  2.6 - How did the Global Food System transform into what it is


  2.7 - How and where was the value created in the Global Food


  2.8 - What type of Innovation and how was it created in the

Global Food System?

  2.9 - Where have the Basic Product R&D Funds Been Spent in

the Global Food System to Create Future Value?

  2.10 - What are some of the Results from R&D Spending in

 the Global Food System?


Section 3.0. Global Food Groups - Development, Processing and

  Packaging: Food System 5.0 Value Creation Opportunities.

  Slides 151-273


  3.1 – Global Food Groups and Types Transformation: Meat Sector

Value Creation Opportunities

  3.2 – Global Food Groups and Types Transformation: Fish Sector

Value Creation Opportunities

  3.3 -  Global Food Groups and Types Transformation: Grains

Sector Value Creation Opportunities

  3.4 -  Global Food Groups and Types Transformation: Fruits Sector

Value Creation Opportunities

  3.5 -  Global Food Groups and Types Transformation: Vegetable

Sector Value Creation Opportunities


Where and How Food is Being Grown: Growing Environments

Land, Water,  Conventional   Section 5.0.   Size, Operation and Food System 5.0 Opportunities.

  Slides 304-321


Section 6.0. Growing Inputs Enabling More with Less:   Equipment, Seed/Sperm, Agrichemicals, Fertilizers, Crop Insurance, Financing, Price Supports and Food System 5.0 Opportunities.

Section 7.0.   Vehicles, Storage and Food System 5.0 

  Slides 340-357


Section 8.0. Retailing Food Around the World from the Corner Store

Hypermarket: Size, Segments Food     Slides 358=371


Section 9.0. Food Service Serving Up Food Anytime and Anywhere  Section 10.0.  Models



Dupont Pioneer










Deere & Co.




Southland Corp.













Indigo Ag



Hello Tractor

Rodale Institute

Autonomous Tractor Corporation

ePower Engine Systems


Meteo Project

Area One Farms

Vuyk Engineering





ThermoFisher Scientific


Marine Stewardship Council






BCF Technology


Feed Management System



Carometer Food Technology




Pessl Instruments

Azotic Technologies


Banana Bunker



Food Freshness Technology