Paradigm Shift in Value Creation within the Global Food System: Global Food System 5.0 - Rise of a More Intelligent Food System


September 2016

 

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Report Title: Paradigm Shift in Value Creation within the Global Food System: Global Food System 5.0 - Rise of a More Intelligent Food System

 

Report Format: Powerpoint in PDF containing 405 slides

 

File Size: 64.6 MB

 

Executive Summary:

 

The Global Agriculture/Food Sector is a $23.2 trillion industry that needs to feed “more with less” by 2050. While much has been written on the sector in terms of policy papers and investment reports, there has never been a solid attempt to put together a comprehensive strategic overview that tries to tie it altogether for decision-makers inside and outside of it.  An attempt that also includes a historical analysis of the sector combined with a detailed examination of where the value in the sector has been created and where it will be created in the future. More importantly, an attempt that tries to think “outside-of-the-box” in order to provide a glimpse of a scenario of what a more intelligent Food System 5.0 could turn out to be in 2050.

Although it was an extremely challenging task to put together such a strategic overview in one comprehensive report we believe we've done it. More importantly, we believe we've also done it in a way that tries to think "outside-of-the-box" in order to create a vision of what Food System 5.0 will develop into in order to feed “more with less” in the coming years. We started this work three years ago by reviewing where mankind started with this effort to feed "more with less" and how we've progressed through the recent "Green Revolution" in order to meet this challenge. Then, we took a look at the recent and current technological efforts, which are being taken to build upon the efforts from this revolution in order to allow for the rise of a more intelligent food system. From this we created a vision with a scenario in which an intelligent food system will enable another leap forward. 

Our vision is a scenario were a more intelligent adaptive system in Food System 5.0 will transform this highly centralized and vertically integrated industrial food system (which has been built mainly by hybridization, fertilization, mechanization and standardization) into a more decentralized and virtualized hybrid food system designed specifically for each individual ecoregion of the world. A hybrid food system that is being driven by a biological revolution, which is converging with revolutions in communications, electronics, energy, financing, logistics, resource efficiency and software systems.

 

More specifically, in this report our “outside-of-the-box” thinking developed a scenario in which the Food System 5.0 is based upon an artificial super intelligence based system (ASIBS) that automatically controls the global food system. With the development of artificial super intelligence (ASI) in the future a fully-functioning intelligent adaptive food system could be created in Food System 5.0.  An intelligent adaptive food system that can provide real-time customized solutions for optimizing one plant, one animal, one food item on a menu instead of one field, one herd or one menu.
 

In summary, with the insights you gain from this report you should be able to become more confident about how you are participating or should participate in its growth of this sector. You should also be able to  gain the insights you might need to make adjustments in your thinking within your company, fund or investment portfolio.

 

Report Organization: Sections 1.0-10.0

 

In Section 1.0 we provide a brief overview on how the global

food system evolved from Food System Version 1.0-4.0 to the three

phases of Version 5.0  out to 2050 - which contains our proprietary 

scenario on the rise of a more intelligent food system in the form 

of an intelligent adaptive system. Section 2.0 goes into detail on

the global food system and how valuewas created in it until the

present time.  Sections 3.0-9.0 go into detail on each segment 

of the global food system, the current state of each of these

segments; what is developing for each segment to  move 

to Version 5.0examples of existing companies and R&D being 

done to lead to things forward including time frames for completion

and, in addition, what needs to be done to reach to the final phase

of Version 5.0.  Section 10.0 provides an overview of Version

5.0, how it will evolve, examplesof current intelligent systems

and possible ways Food System 5.0 could be brought forward

in the world.

 

Section 1.0.  Evolution of Global Food System: Food System 1.0 to 5.0 –

                       Rise of a More Intelligent Food System

                       Slides 7-25

 

Section 2.0. Overview of Global Food System: Structure, Size, Drivers,

                      Transformation Typologies, Value Creation

                      and R&D Expenditures.

                      Slides 26-150

 

                2.1 - What is the Global Food System?

              2.2 - How big is the Global Food System?

              2.3 - What is driving the Global Food System’s Growth?

              2.4 - What are the physical results of such consumption levels?

              2.5 - What Led to the Selection of Food Groups, Cuisines and

                       Rates of Consumption that have Formed Global Diets?

              2.6 - How did the Global Food System transform into what it is

                       today?

              2.7 - How and where was the value created in the Global Food

                       System?

              2.8 - What type of Innovation and how was it created in the

                       Global Food System?

              2.9 - Where have the Basic Product R&D Funds Been Spent in

                       the Global Food System to Create Future Value?

              2.10 - What are some of the Results from R&D Spending in

                         the Global Food System?

 

Section 3.0. Global Food Groups - Development, Processing and

                      Packaging: Food System 5.0 Value Creation Opportunities.

                      Slides 151-273

 

              3.1 – Global Food Groups and Types Transformation: Meat Sector

                        Value Creation Opportunities

              3.2 – Global Food Groups and Types Transformation: Fish Sector

                        Value Creation Opportunities

              3.3 -  Global Food Groups and Types Transformation: Grains

                        Sector Value Creation Opportunities

              3.4 -  Global Food Groups and Types Transformation: Fruits Sector

                        Value Creation Opportunities

              3.5 -  Global Food Groups and Types Transformation: Vegetable

                        Sector Value Creation Opportunities

 

Section 4.0. Where and How Food is Being Grown: Growing Environments

                       - Land, Water,  Conventional and Controlled - Size, Types, 

                      and Food System 5.0 Opportunities.

                      Slides 274-303

 

Section 5.0. Growers/Farmers that are Producing Food: Number,

                      Size, Operation and Food System 5.0 Opportunities.

                      Slides 304-321

 

Section 6.0. Growing Inputs Enabling More with Less: Farm

                      Equipment, Seed/Sperm, Agrichemicals, Fertilizers,

                      Crop Insurance, Financing, Price Supports and Food

                      System 5.0 Opportunities.

                      Slides 322-339

 

Section 7.0. Moving Food from the Field to the Table: Logistics,

                      Vehicles, Storage and Food System 5.0 

                      Opportunities.

                      Slides 340-357

 

Section 8.0. Retailing Food Around the World from the Corner Store

                      to the  Hypermarket: Size, Segments and Food System

                      5.0 Opportunities.

                      Slides 358=371

 

Section 9.0. Food Service Serving Up Food Anytime and Anywhere:

                     Size, Segments and Food System 5.0 Opportunities.

                     Slides 372-380

 

Section 10.0. Global Food System 5.0 - Intelligent Adoptive System

                         Models

                          Slides 381-401

AT&T

Dupont Pioneer

Syngenta

CashIH

Tyson

Agfunder

Bonduelle

Nestle

Monsanto

Kroger

Kellogg's

Deere & Co.

ADM

McCormick

Tropicana

Southland Corp.

Pikrite

FrigorTec

Vuzix

Dematic

NCR

Xovis

OptiMiam

Entrade

Freshdirect

Firstleaf

Idealspot

Brainchip

Indigo Ag

PlantLab

iAgri

Hello Tractor

Rodale Institute

Autonomous Tractor Corporation

ePower Engine Systems

Hagie

Meteo Project

Area One Farms

Vuyk Engineering

SMTrack

Foodsniffer

LG

Google

ThermoFisher Scientific

Marel

Marine Stewardship Council

Turatti

Aggenetics

AgriBioformatics

EpiBiome

Agrivida

BCF Technology

RUMEN

Feed Management System

Cargill

Growsafe

Carometer Food Technology

Specterra

Spraytarget

Trimble

Pessl Instruments

Azotic Technologies

Landec

Banana Bunker

Calgene

Agrofresh

Food Freshness Technology